Serbia is expected to continue experiencing colder and dry weather, with occasional frosts during the nights and mornings.
The eastern and southeastern wind, known as košava, will blow sporadically and is expected to strengthen by the end of the week.
Today, colder weather will arrive in Serbia, with winter temperatures returning, but without precipitation. In the coming period, predominantly cold and dry conditions will persist, with frequent frost at night and in the mornings, while in the košava region, moderate to strong winds will blow intermittently.
“Strong winds will blow”
According to amateur meteorologist Marko Čubrilo, stable atmospheric conditions will provide mostly dry weather.
“Over the next few days, dry and cold air will flow toward us along the eastern periphery of the anticyclone. The weather will be slightly to moderately cloudy and moderately cold, but dry. In the košava region of Serbia, a moderate to strong east or southeast wind will blow. Nights and mornings will be cold, with moderate, and in some places strong frost, mostly from -15 to -6 degrees Celsius. During the day, air temperatures will range from -5 to +2 degrees Celsius, which is within average limits,” Čubrilo stated on Facebook.
He warned that changes in weather could occur, as colder and warmer air masses are expected to meet in the upper layers of the atmosphere.
Collision of cold air from Siberia
“Around January 23, a very cold air mass will move from Siberia toward Europe, while at the same time, moist and significantly warmer air will come from the Atlantic. On January 24, the cold, dry air will collide with the warm, moist stream. A stronger cold snap is currently only a possibility, as the path of the cold air is still being determined,” he said, adding:
“The combination of air masses will also depend on weather developments after January 25. At the moment, all options are still possible: from a cold spell with heavy frost and snow, to a thaw influenced by the Atlantic, or a temporary thaw followed by a cold snap. This last scenario is currently the most likely, but calculations will certainly change many times.”
Earlier, Marko reported that a cold snap without precipitation would arrive over the weekend, accompanied by strengthened east winds in the košava region, with temperatures ranging from minimums of -15 to -8 degrees Celsius and maximums of -8 to 2 degrees.
Frost, fog, and cloudy weather, activated alarms
According to RHMZ forecasts, this morning weak to moderate frost is expected. In the Timok region, southwest, and southern Serbia, fog and low clouds will form in the morning and may persist longer during the day. In other regions, mostly sunny weather is expected.
“The wind will be weak to moderate, occasionally strong in the košava region, southeast, and in southern Banat and lower Danube region, occasionally reaching storm strength, increasing the subjective feeling of cold. The lowest temperatures will range from -9 to -3 degrees Celsius, and the highest from 0 to 5 degrees Celsius. In northern Vojvodina and the Timok region, colder, from -4 to -2 degrees Celsius,” reads the meteorological forecast.
RHMZ notes that lower temperatures will slow the melting of the snow cover, and caution is advised due to ice formation on wet surfaces.
Additionally, RHMZ issued yellow and orange weather alerts for snow, low temperatures, and wind for Sunday and Monday.
Weather next week
Next week in Serbia, according to RHMZ forecasts, will bring a mix of sun, clouds, and occasional precipitation, with continued variable winds, while the mountains will see the first true winter scenes with snow.
“On Monday and Tuesday (January 19–20), mostly sunny weather is expected in most areas, while low clouds and fog may occasionally appear in northern Vojvodina, eastern, southern, and southwestern Serbia. From Wednesday (January 21), partly to moderately cloudy, with only light and occasional precipitation in hilly and mountainous areas. Next weekend (January 24–25), with cloudier and slightly warmer weather, rain is expected in some areas, with snow in high mountains. In Pomoravlje and the Danube region, a strong southeast wind will blow until Wednesday (January 21), temporarily weakening on Thursday and Friday (January 22–23), then the košava wind will resume,” RHMZ reports.
When will the next wave of košava arrive and how strong will it be?
After temporarily weakening on Wednesday and Thursday, January 21–22, the košava wind will strengthen again toward the end of the workweek.
According to RHMZ forecasts, the first signs of precipitation, primarily in the south of the country, may appear from January 21, while the rest of Serbia will remain dry and cold.
As previously reported, košava rarely blows for just one day. Typically, it lasts up to five days, but there have been instances where it persisted much longer.
“Košava will likely blow for the next seven days, but we will see. It is important to monitor forecasts as they can change,” meteorologist Ivan Ristić told Blic.
Popular beliefs suggest that košava can last three, seven, or even 21 days. However, meteorologists do not fully agree, and statistics show that in Belgrade, in 1953 and 1972, the košava blew for an entire month on two occasions.
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Source: Sportal, Foto: Eibner-Pressefoto/Marcel von Fehrn /Profimedia